Apple stocks drop on Jobs’ absence

As expected, Apple’s stocks dropped 6.15% at 327.05 USD (from last Friday’s close at 348.48 USD) when it opened in the US on Tuesday after the announcement on Sunday of his impending absence. Prices recovered somewhat to close down 2.25% at 340.65 USD.

Steve Jobs last went on extended medical leave from January to June 2009. From the time he began exhibiting signs of weight loss in June 2008 till his return to work in June the following year, Apple shares were down 23.3%.

Apple stocks drop on 18 Jan 2009

Apple stocks drop 6.15% on opening and closed down 2.25%.

Apple's stocks during Steve Jobs' previous medical leave in 2009

Apple's stocks initially dropped before recovering when Jobs returned

Perhaps as an indication of the confidence that Tim Cook gained when he oversaw the day-to-day operations in Jobs’ absence, the shares actually gained some 70% from the time Jobs announced his absence on 14 January 2009 till his return on 29 June that year.

Perhaps there is a slight difference in the two situations. In his memo in 2009, there was an expected date of return – six months down the line – which was fulfilled. This time round, there is no hint on how long the medical leave is expected to be.

In the immediate term, any decline in Apple’s value may be cushioned by the expected positive earnings result to be announced today from the bumper quarter reported on. The strong outlook from the launch of the iPhone with Verizon is likely to provide further support.

Even the clogs for the next versions of iPhone and iPad would have been set in motion by now. The question will therefore be on when Steve Jobs returns and whether an Apple without him would be able to continue on the steam roller of innovation that it has been on in recent years.

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2 Responses to “Apple stocks drop on Jobs’ absence”

  1. May Buckett says:

    Thanks for the analysis. So I suppose we should see Apple stocks resume its upward climb from here on.

    • tech4tea says:

      Yeah, I believe this leave has been very carefully timed and planned in advance.

      The announcement coming just prior to a very strong quarterly earnings report that will cushion a certain drop in response to the announcement.

      An immediate upcoming strong quarter from a much anticipated Verizon partnership.

      This will probably be followed by the iPhone 4 and iPad 2. So the strategic part has been taken care of for the next year at least.

      What’s left is the execution, of which Tim Cook and his team can more than handle.

      It’s what new products after that which will hinge on Jobs’ recovery. A game changer in a revamped Apple TV?

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